Gold's Bull Run Accelerates: A Decisive Breakout After the NFP Shockwave
A data-driven analysis of gold's decisive breakout, propelled to a new all-time high by a shocking NFP report.
Proprietary trading · XAU · XAG · FX
A proprietary desk in gold, silver and FX, trading since 2015.
Crestrado trades a live account using an indicator built entirely in-house. Each position combines the indicator's reading with technical structure and prevailing market conditions, and exposure is set by a disciplined risk framework. We publish what the research turns up.
Approach
Three checks before every position.
Decisions follow the same order every time. The rules exist to keep emotion out of trading in markets that move quickly and use leverage.
- Step 1
Read the regime
The in-house indicator measures volatility conditions in gold, silver and FX, and flags when they favour taking a position.
- Step 2
Confirm the setup
A signal is checked against multi-timeframe technical structure and prevailing market conditions before an order is placed.
- Step 3
Set the exposure
Position size and exposure are set by the risk framework rather than by conviction, and capital is not always fully deployed.
Track record
Our own account, on the record since 2015.
Half-year results net of trading costs, with drawdowns, a benchmark comparison and the methodology behind them — including the periods where capital sat undeployed. Published in full, not summarised.
View the track record- Growth of 100, log scale Chart
- Drawdown history Chart
- Half-year and calendar-year returns Tables
- Comparison with the S&P 500 TR Table
- Fee basis and methodology Notes
Research
Notes from the desk.
Scenario-based views on precious metals and macro, with the evidence behind them. Views, not recommendations.
AI Disruption, Industrial Demand, and Silver Price Outlook
Silver’s future sits at the intersection of AI disruption, green energy, and historical GSR cycles.
Challenging the Narrative: Is the S&P 500 a High-Leverage System?
A data-driven critique of the market-concentration narrative in the S&P 500.
The desk
How we work.
A small desk, a narrow set of markets, and a process that is written down rather than improvised.
- Our own account
- This website describes Crestrado's proprietary trading. Nothing here is an offer or a solicitation, and no investment service is offered through it.
- A few markets, studied closely
- Gold, silver and major FX. Depth in a handful of liquid markets is worth more to the process than breadth across many.
- Research in the open
- What the models turn up is published as scenarios with the evidence behind them, in the same markets the desk trades. Views, not recommendations.
Notes from the desk.
New research on gold, silver and macro as the work produces it. Free to read, no sign-up.